![]() “California is so anti-Trump that anyone with an R (for Republican) next to their name was already facing an uphill battle. “It was fairly predictable, in California especially,” said Peter Sovich, chairman of Long Beach Republicans. Still, other Republicans tried to downplay Democrats’ wins by calling them predictable - even their clean sweep of targeted seats in California, where seven House seats flipped from red to blue, five of those in Los Angeles and Orange counties. Over the past half century, the average pickup for an opposing party in the first midterm for a new president has been 27 seats. Schnur had said before the election that the outcomes of many races would hinge on voters’ attitudes toward President Trump, and said this week that he was right (adding, “that’s a relief”).īut Schnur included himself among those who didn’t anticipate that Democrats would pick up as many House seats as they did, winning in 40 districts previously represented by Republicans, far more than the net gain of 23 they needed to gain a majority.ĭemocrats’ gains were their biggest in any midterm election since 1974, when they picked up 48 seats with Republican Gerald Ford in the White House. But the intensity of the Trump opposition allowed the Democrats to achieve much larger gains than a lot of people anticipated,” said Dan Schnur, a USC professor and former Republican spokesman and strategist, expressing a common take on last month’s results. ![]() ![]() “Nothing much changed in terms of (the electorate’s) partisan and ideological leanings. House of Representatives, we’ve been asking many of the same observers - and others - how it played out, what message voters sent, what changed and what didn’t. In the month since the election, as late-ballot counts showed that Democrats expanded their dominance of California government and captured a controlling majority in the U.S.
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